Jimmy Howard’s 2013-2014 Season by the Numbers

 

Prior to the start of the 2013-2014 season, the Detroit Red Wings granted goaltender Jimmy Howard a six-year, $31.8 million extension that will carry him through the 2018-2019 season. His cap hit is $5.3 million per season, putting him on par with Marc-Andre Fleury, Sergei Bobrovsky, and Mike Smith according to CapGeek. The Red Wings’ brass put a lot of trust in Howard with the new contract and Howard responded by posting one of the worst seasons of his career. Howard went 21-19-11 with a 2.66 GAA, and a .910 SV%. Just last year, Howard went 21-13-7 with a 2.12 GAA and a .923 SV% and was the main reason the Red Wings made the playoffs in 2013.

Jimmy  (Icon SMI)

Jimmy Howard was not at the top of his game this year. Can he return to his elite level in 2014-2015? (Icon SMI)

Fingers were largely pointed at the Red Wings defense as the main reason why the Wings struggled. While the defense is absolutely a problem, I wanted to take a look at the man behind the mask. Can Howard completely be absolved of all blame, or is he a bigger part of the problem than we realized? Take a look at Jimmy Howard’s season by the numbers.

Jimmy Howard by the Numbers

The Numbers on Jimmy Howard

2,577 shots were directed at Jimmy Howard with 1,482 of them reaching the net. The shots came from an average distance of 36.1 feet.  Howard stopped 91.0% of those shots, and allowed 133 goals against. However, the numbers are not as simple as that. When did he allow those goals? Where were those goals scored against him? Were any of them “bad goals”. I decided to go back and watch every goal allowed to see if Howard deserves more of the blame than he is receiving. All data was taken from Extra Skater.

Opponent Period Time Shot Type Distance (feet) Shooter Situation Score Margin at Time of Goal Location of Goal Bad Goal?
Buffalo 3 12:36 Back 15 Girgensons 5-on-5 2 High Blocker Yes (puck-handling mistake)
Carolina 1 13:30 Defl 8 Dvorak 5-on-5 0 High Glove
Carolina 2 18:11 Wrist 12 Gerbe PP -1 Low Blocker
Boston 1 9:11 Slap 42 Krug PP 0 High Glove
Boston 2 0:36 Wrist 30 Marchand 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Boston 2 7:58 Wrist 20 Caron 5-on-5 -1 Low Glove
Boston 3 12:17 Back 9 Chara PP -2 High Glove
Phoenix 1 2:21 Slap 62 Morris 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker
Phoenix 2 7:04 Wrist 12 Boedker 5-on-5 1 High Blocker
Phoenix 3 15:13 Slap 58 Stone 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Philadelphia 2 11:42 Slap 61 Gustafsson 5-on-5 2 Low Blocker Yes (misplayed shot)
Philadelphia 3 5:46 Back 29 McGinn 5-on-5 2 Low Blocker
Phoenix 2 19:00 Wrist 30 Vermette 5-on-5 2 High Glove
Phoenix 3 5:07 Wrist 12 Ribeiro 5-on-5 1 High Blocker Yes (bad rebound to give up)
Phoenix 3 7:08 Wrist 26 Hanzal 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker
Phoenix 3 13:14 Wrist 17 Ribeiro 5-on-5 -1 High Blocker
Ottawa 1 5:46 Wrist 31 Gryba 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Ottawa 1 10:48 Slap 41 Spezza PP -1 High Glove
Ottawa 1 14:14 Wrist 43 Ryan PP -2 High Blocker
NYR 2 17:20 Back 8 Pouliot PP 1 High Blocker
NYR 3 2:18 Wrist 12 Zuccarello 5-on-5 1 Five Hole
NYR OT 4:47 Snap 16 Brassard PP 0 Low Blocker
Vancouver 1 14:12 Wrist 20 D. Sedin 5-on-5 0 High Glove Yes (poor positioning)
Calgary 2 10:15 Slap 44 Butler 5-on-5 2 Low Blocker
Calgary 2 12:47 Wrist 22 Monahan 5-on-5 1 High Glove
Calgary 3 19:50 Wrist 7 Glencross 5-on-6 2 Low Blocker
Winnipeg 1 19:00 Wrist 21 Little 5-on-5 0 Five Hole
Winnipeg 2 17:04 Snap 16 Frolik 5-on-5 1 Low Blocker
Winnipeg 3 4:27 Snap 22 Halischuk 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Winnipeg 3 10:57 Back 12 Ladd 5-on-5 -1 Five Hole
Dallas 2 19:39 Wrist 8 Horcoff 5-on-5 2 High Blocker
Dallas 3 4:08 Back 9 Ja. Benn 5-on-5 1 Five Hole
Dallas 3 18:50 Snap 38 Eakin PP 1 High Blocker
Dallas OT 4:41 Snap 37 Peverley 4-on-4 0 High Blocker
Tampa Bay 1 10:11 Wrist 5 Malone 5-on-5 1 High Glove Yes (poor positioning)
Tampa Bay 2 12:50 Snap 24 Stamkos 5-on-5 0 High Glove
Tampa Bay OT 3:51 Snap 18 Purcell 4-on-4 0 High Glove
Winnipeg 1 7:10 Snap 34 Little 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Winnipeg 3 10:47 Wrist 22 Bogosian 5-on-5 0 High Glove
Washington 1 5:50 Back 9 Laich 5-on-5 0 Low Glove Yes (bad rebound to give up)
Washington 3 3:19 Wrist 20 Ovechkin 5-on-5 2 High Blocker
Washington 3 11:54 Back 15 Latta 5-on-5 1 Low Blocker
Nashville 2 19:55 Slap 60 Weber PP 0 High Blocker
Nashville 3 7:13 Back 7 Bourque 5-on-5 -1 Low Glove
Ottawa 1 14:33 Wrist 14 MacArthur 5-on-5 1 High Blocker
Ottawa 1 15:44 Wrist 29 Neil 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker
Ottawa 3 3:51 Slap 17 Ryan PP 0 Low Blocker
Ottawa 3 15:58 Wrist 10 MacArthur PP -1 Five Hole
Philadelphia 1 13:48 Snap 29 Downie PP 1 Low Blocker
Philadelphia 2 16:38 Wrist 13 Read 5-on-5 2 Low Glove
Philadelphia 3 5:15 Wrist 42 Giroux PP 1 High Glove
Philadelphia 3 8:28 Wrist 52 Couturier 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Philadelphia 3 9:58 Slap 40 Hartnell PP -1 High Glove
Florida 3 5:00 Tip 14 Bergenheim 5-on-5 2 Five Hole
Florida 3 14:38 Wrist 12 Bjugstad 5-on-5 1 High Blocker Yes (poor positioning)
Nashville 1 1:54 Wrist 39 Wilson 5-on-5 0 Low Glove Yes (misplayed shot)
Nashville 1 9:50 Snap 44 Smith 5-on-5 0 High Blocker Yes (misplayed shot)
Nashville 2 4:24 Snap 32 Spaling 5-on-5 -1 Low Glove Yes (misplayed shot)
Nashville 3 5:50 Wrist 27 Fisher 5-on-5 -1 Low Blocker
Nashville 3 12:07 Back 19 Wilson 5-on-5 -1 High Glove
Toronto 2 19:23 Wrist 19 van Riemsdyk 5-on-5 1 High Glove Yes (misplayed shot)
Toronto 3 4:41 Tip 8 Bozak 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Dallas 1 12:47 Defl 19 Horcoff SH 1 High Blocker
San Jose 1 4:59 Wrist 15 Pavelski 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker
San Jose 2 9:44 Wrist 44 Desjardins 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker Yes (misplayed shot)
San Jose 2 12:25 Wrist 8 Pavelski 5-on-5 -1 High Blocker
San Jose 2 16:28 Wrist 18 Boyle PP -2 High Blocker
Los Angeles 1 14:10 Slap 30 Doughty PP 0 Low Blocker
NYR 3 14:02 Wrist 12 Zuccarello 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker Yes (misplayed shot)
Los Angeles 2 9:06 Wrist 38 Richards PP 0 High Glove
Los Angeles 3 17:45 Wrist 10 Carter PP 0 Low Glove
St. Louis 1 11:13 Back 7 Paajarvi 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker Yes (poor positioning)
St. Louis 2 1:01 Slap 56 Jackman 4-on-4 0 High Blocker
St. Louis 2 2:21 Wrist 44 Shattenkirk PP -1 High Blocker
Washington 1 15:24 Tip 9 Chimera PP 0 Low Blocker
Washington 3 8:09 Wrist 18 Wellman 5-on-5 1 High Blocker
Washington 3 19:53 Tip 9 Ward 5-on-6 1 Low Blocker
Washington 1 4:43 Wrist 15 Chimera 5-on-5 0 Low Glove
Washington 1 7:20 Wrist 40 Ward PP -1 Five Hole
Washingotn 1 16:05 Slap 48 Carlson PP -1 High Blocker
Washington 2 13:49 Wrist 11 Ward 5-on-5 -1 Five Hole
Washington 3 4:28 Wrist 14 Brouwer 5-on-5 0 High Glove
Washington OT 2:37 Slap 38 Ovechkin PP 0 Low Blocker
Florida 1 19:34 Wrist 22 Upshall 5-on-5 0 Five Hole
Tampa Bay 2 1:44 Wrist 18 Palat PP 1 High Blocker
Tampa Bay 2 17:14 Back 26 Pyatt 5-on-5 1 High Blocker Yes (poor positioning)
Tampa Bay 3 16:49 Wrist 15 Killorn 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Montreal 3 19:31 Back 20 Gionta 5-on-6 1 High Blocker
New Jersey 1 0:27 Back 4 Henrique 5-on-5 0 Low Glove
New Jersey 3 0:41 Deflection 8 Zidlicky PP 1 High Glove
New Jersey 3 6:30 Back 20 Zajac 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
New Jersey 3 19:23 Tip 24 Gionta 5-on-5 0 High Glove
Colorado 2 10:11 Wrist 12 Duchene 5-on-5 1 Low Glove
Colorado 3 5:49 Back 9 Parenteau 5-on-5 1 Low Blocker
Colorado OT 4:28 Snap 32 Benoit 4-on-4 0 High Blocker
NYR 1 5:14 Wrist 17 Boyle 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker
NYR 3 0:14 Tip 10 Kreider 5-on-5 -1 High Glove
NYR 3 12:11 Snap 35 Kreider 5-on-5 -2 High Blocker Yes (poor positioning)
Edmonton 3 8:43 Wrist 18 Smyth 5-on-5 1 High Glove
Chicago 2 8:44 Slap 46 Leddy PP 0 Five Hole
Chicago 2 19:46 Wrist 12 Smith 5-on-5 0 Low Glove
Chicago 3 6:33 Wrist 15 Hossa 4-on-4 -1 Low Blocker
Chicago 3 17:50 Back 10 Toews SH -2 Low Glove
Toronto 3 8:24 Wrist 11 Gardiner PP 2 Low Blocker
Toronto 3 18:47 Tip 14 van Riemsdyk 5-on-6 2 High Blocker
Pittsburgh 2 15:17 Tip 13 Stempniak 5-on-5 2 Low Blocker
Pittsburgh 2 15:42 Back 7 Malkin 5-on-5 1 Low Blocker
Pittsburgh 2 17:58 Slap 48 Malkin PP 0 High Glove
Pittsburgh 3 14:17 Wrist 19 Adams 5-on-5 1 High Blocker
Minnesota 1 5:38 Wrist 34 Koivu PP 0 High Glove
Minnesota 3 0:15 Wrist 9 Coyle Penalty Shot 1 Low Glove
Minnesota 2 11:57 Slap 54 Pominville PP 2 High Glove
Minnesota 3 4:33 Wrist 3 Coyle 5-on-5 1 Low Glove
Minnesota 3 6:18 Wrist 8 Parise 5-on-5 0 Low Blocker
Minnesota OT 2:15 Tip 19 Moulson 4-on-4 0 Low Glove
Columbus 1 1:35 Snap 9 Johansen PP 0 Low Glove
Columbus 1 12:46 Wrist 11 Dubinsky PP -1 Low Blocker
Columbus 3 6:58 Tip 4 Atkinson 5-on-5 0 Low Glove
Montreal 1 5:14 Snap 34 Plekanec 5-on-5 0 High Glove
Montreal 1 14:11 Snap 35 Plekanec 4-on-4 -1 High Glove
Montreal 2 11:03 Wrist 18 Desharnais 5-on-5 -1 High Blocker
Montreal 3 5:48 Wrist 40 Pacioretty 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Montreal 3 11:15 Tip 26 Vanek 5-on-5 -1 High Blocker
Toronto 1 10:57 Slap 52 Franson 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Toronto 2 18:57 Wrist 25 Lupul 5-on-5 2 Low Blocker
Boston 1 16:50 Slap 56 Boychuk 5-on-5 0 High Blocker
Boston 3 1:10 Snap 18 Soderberg PP 0 High Blocker
Buffalo 2 12:28 Wrist 30 McBain PP 3 High Blocker Yes (poor positioning)
Buffalo 3 6:40 Wrist 24 Deslauries 5-on-5 2 Low Glove
Buffalo 2 1:31 Tip 11 Girgensons 5-on-5 0 Low Glove
Buffalo 3 17:49 Wrist 17 Girgensons 5-on-5 2 High Blocker
Carolina 1 8:15 Wrist 6 Lindholm PP 0 High Glove
Carolina 1 18:24 Snap 19 Tlusty 5-on-5 -1 Low Blocker

Breaking Down the Numbers

As you can see, Howard was all over the place last season. By my subjective analysis, 12.8% of the goals Howard allowed last year were “bad goals”. These were a result of poor positioning, misplayed shots, bad rebounds, or mishandling the puck. If Howard could cut those in half, his GAA would have been 2.48 and his SV% would have been .916 SV%. We could play the what-if game all day, but I just wanted to illustrate how if Howard had been more focused, his numbers would look much better. However, that is not the most troubling statistic. The most troubling numbers are found if you examine the situations in which Howard gave up goals.

As illustrated in the infographic, Howard gave up 27 goals in the first two minutes or last two minutes of a period. Let me rephrase that to accent that statistic. A whopping 20% of all goals given up by Howard came in the first two minutes or last two minutes of a period. That number doesn’t even include the four goals he allowed with less than a minute to go in overtime. Those goals are absolute backbreakers! They shift the momentum of the game dramatically and can totally demoralize a team. If I expand it to the first five minutes and last five minutes of a period, we find that 45.1% of the goals allowed by Howard came in that time range. Potentially even more disheartening, Howard gave up the first goal of the game in 54% of the games he started. It’s a miracle that the Red Wings made the playoffs this year.

(Tom Turk/The Hockey Writers)

Howard struggled to consistently track the puck throughout the season. (Tom Turk/The Hockey Writers)

Young teams rely on their goalies to keep them in games when the score is tied or if they have the lead. 66.1% of the goals Howard allowed came in situations where the score was tied or the Wings held a one-goal lead. If I further subdivide that, 21.8% of the goals Howard allowed this year were when his team had a one-goal lead. How on Earth is a young team supposed to build confidence if their veteran goaltender can’t hold a lead for them? These goals a particularly detrimental to the confidence of this young team.

Who’s Really to Blame?

Yes, the Red Wings defense was atrocious at times last year. However, based on these numbers, they should not be the only ones receiving blame. Jimmy Howard is getting paid like an elite goaltender and unfortunately he did not perform as such in the 2013-2014 season. He gave up untimely goals, back-breaking goals, and very bad goals. Young teams rely on their goaltenders to be dialed in from the moment that the puck is dropped. Howard did not provide that level of focus this year. If the Red Wings are to take the next step in becoming a contender, the first step will absolutely be improving their defense. However, you could definitely argue that the second step will be figuring out if Howard can stand and deliver for them consistently. Unfortunately for the Wings, they will be forced to find out as Howard is locked in until 2019. We all know he has that extra level. We’ve seen it in the playoffs and in big games before. It’s just a matter of whether or not Howard can concentrate for 60 minutes to provide this young team with a steady presence in goal, instead of constant jolts to their confidence and psyche.

Prashanth Iyer

Prashanth Iyer

Prashanth is a fourth-year doctor of pharmacy student at the University of North Carolina Eshelman School of Pharmacy in Chapel Hill, NC. Prashanth is studying to be an infectious disease pharmacist, but in his spare time, he watches any hockey game he can catch. He was born and raised just outside Detroit, Michigan and hence is a big Red Wings fan. He is always willing to hear any and all debates pertaining to his articles, so feel free to email him at piyer97@gmail.com
Prashanth Iyer

10 Comments

  1. so, you expect him to return to the level he was at when he had Lidstrom, Rafalski, Krownwall and Stuart on the top two defensive pairings in front of him. Kronwall is the only member of those four still on the team. in fact, Ericcson went from being the #6 defenseman at that time, to a top pair guy now. has his skill improved that much? i don’t believe it truly has. unfortunately, due to youth (Dekeyser, Smith, Lashoff) and lack of skill (Quincey, Kindl) he is, in fact the second best defenseman on the team. so, you’re expectations for Howard to perform at an elite level when he clearly doesn’t have the same elite defense in front of him that he once did seems like a bit of a tall order.

  2. all you’ve done here is shown what times and what situations the other teams scored goals. you make a point to say what we all know, that the defense was beyond terrible last year. but, you then go on to put every goal squarely on Howard’s shoulders by not taking into account whether there was poor defensive positioning or turnovers involved in any of situations you present. you take time to mention what his numbers would look like if he cut down on mistakes that resulted in “bad goals,” but fail to go the distance and make a prediction on what his numbers would look like if the team were to cut down on the number of shots he has to face per game, as it was up to just over 29 shots per game last year (a jump of over two shots per game from 2012). looking at Gustavsson’s near identical numbers to Howard’s seems to be indicative of a bigger problem than the goaltenders. looking further, you’ll notice that the team’s average shots for per game has been consistently dropping since ’09-’10 season. they’re down from nearly 34 per game to 30 last season. this means, that the team has been worse at controlling the puck over the last few years. the less time you spend with the puck, the more time your opponent has with it. you make a shoddy attempt at qualifying everything by stating that “the defense was atrocious at times.” how many of their games did you even watch? a more accurate statement would be that “the defense wasn’t atrocious at times. but, they were few and far between.” just another wannabe blog writer trying to make a name by bashing the goaltender and half-assing your “research.”

    • Prashanth Iyer says:

      There’s a right way to go about criticizing a piece and then there’s a wrong way and unfortunately you’ve opted for the wrong way. You are taking more than what I’ve implied in my work. Nowhere do I say that Howard deserves blame for every goal. That sentence does not appear in this piece. All I’m saying is that if you’re going to get paid $5.3 million a year, you have to be better than what he was this year. I went back and watched all 133 goals that were let in. There were plenty of them that came off of turnovers or shots that just plain weren’t stoppable. All I’m suggesting is that Howard has to return to the level he was at in prior years. Your argument about puck possession is partially valid. Shots on goal is a good indicator, but Corsi For and Fenwick For are better indicators. The Wings still ranked in the top-10 in Fenwick For in even strength situations. If you won’t remain civil in replying, then there’s no need for me to qualify my points any more. The only thing you should take away from this article is that while the defense was young and made many mistakes, Howard should have been better, and needs to be better moving forward.

  3. SilentStryk09 is absolutely correct. This article just reeks of someone who began “research” with a conclusion in mind and just picked whichever facts he thought would fit the pre-determined narrative then explained why the facts show what he wants them to show (even though they don’t). That’s how you end up with ridiculous statements like “a whopping” 20% of goals scored in 20% of the game. WOW that’s some big league analysis.

    The entire premise of the article is dubious to begin with, regardless of how little thought was put into it. You can’t draw any conclusions from sample size of 1. I don’t care how many “bad goals” Howard gave up according to you because taken in isolation, the number means nothing. How many “bad goals” do other goalies give up? How many do the best goalies give up? How many goals at the beginning/end of periods to other goalies give up? Are more goals scored at the beginning and/or end of periods? That would be useful information for comparison. Without any comparison to other goalies, all the numbers you cited are utterly useless in drawing any kind of conclusion or offering any useful analysis.

    I guess you can just cite meaningless numbers and conclude he lacks focus and call it an article though so you’ve got that going for you.

    • Prashanth Iyer says:

      I appreciate the feedback from all three of you. You have pointed out that yes, he gave up 20% of the goals in 20% of the game. However, this assumes that a goal at any point in time is worth the same in terms of the flow of the game. We know that a goal scored in the first two minutes or the last two minutes of a game can have a greater impact on the overall game than a goal scored in the middle 16 minutes. Now you are correct, I should have pulled some comparisons for this. The problem was there really was no good way to do it. If I show you a guy like Lundqvist, then people will say, “oh you’ve compared him to the best goalie in the NHL”. If I show you Rask, people will say “oh you’ve compared him to a goalie that has an unreal defense”. The problem was finding the perfect comparison to Howard. I struggled to come up with one and that’s why I left out a comparison. Finally, the last piece of defense I’d like to offer is that the point of this article was not to trash Howard by any means. It was to suggest that if he’s going to get paid like an elite goaltender, he should play like one. You’ve pulled one statistic out of the bunch and said that it was a faulty number. What about the fact that he gave up the first goal in 54% of the games he started? You don’t need a comparison there to know that that number is below par. What about the fact that Howard allowed 29 goals when the Wings held a one-goal lead? That number is bad when you consider that he only appeared in 51 games. I appreciate your comments on the article, but do you firmly believe that Howard is an elite goaltender? The point that I did not make clear in this was that these numbers should support the general feeling that most Wings’ fans had during this past season. I plain and simple did not trust the Wings when Howard was in goal.

      • “We know that a goal scored in the first two minutes or the last two minutes of a game can have a greater impact on the overall game ”

        Is that true? I know that this is a popular belief but is there actual evidence that goals at these times effect the game more than goals at other times? If not, you’re basing a big part of your conclusion on a sizeable assumption.

        “The problem was there really was no good way to do it.”

        That’s true. If you picked one or two goalies, the sample still wouldn’t be large enough to mean anything. When you severely limit the sample size to 12 minutes per game, you’re going to see a lot of randomness influencing the results. Goals aren’t scored at consistent rates which is why it’s generally accepted that even a single season worth of 5-on-5 SV% isn’t even enough to adequately judge a goalie’s true ability. It’s subject to a lot of statistical noise and it takes a while to see through it. I agree that it would be difficult to come up with any analysis like this that would produce meaningful information but that doesn’t make the information you’ve generated meaningful. Without context, it’s not possible to draw any logical conclusion.

        It was to suggest that if he’s going to get paid like an elite goaltender, he should play like one.”

        He’s not paid like an elite goaltender. Howard’s cap hit was the 13th highest among goalies last year and his salary was 10th. That is not elite territory. Lundqvist, Rinne and Rask are paid like elite goaltenders. Also, you’re saying he should play like an elite goaltender while having not compared his results to generally accepted elite goaltenders. Why not? If the point of your article was to show that Howard was not elite why have you offered no comparison?

        “What about the fact that he gave up the first goal in 54% of the games he started?”

        That is interesting but again, you’ve offered no context. It’s obviously easy to know that average for all goalies will be 50% and Howard is clearly below average. But is there a strong correlation between goalie ability and allowing the first goal? Since it takes a long time for something like save percentage to normalize (highly volatile in the short term), I would hypothesize that something like allowing the first goal is also significantly influenced by randomness in the short term. Looking at the truly elite goalies mentioned above, what are their numbers? Is not allowing the first goal something that’s really a skill or mostly luck? Again, no context.

        “I appreciate your comments on the article, but do you firmly believe that Howard is an elite goaltender?”

        I don’t think he’s an elite goaltender but I think he’s good enough to justify the contract.

        Here is a list of goalies sorted by save percentage. It is regular season 5-0n-5, score close (defined as within 1 goal in the first two periods or tied in the third period) for the past three regular season.

        http://stats.hockeyanalysis.com/ratings.php?disp=1&db=201114&sit=5v5close&pos=goalies&minutes=2500&teamid=0&type=shots&sort=ShPctA&sortdir=ASC

        This measure accounts for differences in shots faced, time on the penalty kill and encompasses only time when saves are really crucial. Look where Jimmy is and who he is above.

        • Prashanth Iyer says:

          Hey Patrick,

          Thanks for sharing that last link. It follows my line of thinking in that Howard was great the previous two seasons and had a down season last year. I was mainly focusing on just this past season and how he needs to return to that level. Fair point on the inability to draw a logical conclusion from the way I presented that stat. Perhaps a better way to view that stat would have been to view it in absolutes. I just took a quick look at Henrik Lundqvist and found that he gave up 29 goals in the first two minutes or last two minutes in 63 games, compared to Howard giving up 27 in 51 games. Again, can’t draw a substantial conclusion from that one comparison, but it’s worth noting that there may be merit to what I’m suggesting. Clearly I should have extended the research for another few days before publishing and I’m reaping the “rewards” for not going the distance like I normally do. I appreciate you keeping the comments civil and constructive and look forward to chatting hockey in the future.

  4. Thank god I wasn’t the only one that noticed it… @SilentStryk09

  5. SilentStryk09 says:

    So wait, what you’re saying is he gave up 20% of his goals in 20% of the game? Huh, that almost makes logical sense and doesn’t hurt his case. You also go on to say he gave up 45% of goals in the first or last five minutes of a period. That means he allowed more goals in the second and third sets of 5 minutes.

    • Prashanth Iyer says:

      You are correct. Perhaps looking at the absolutes would have been a better way to illustrate the point. Howard gave up 27 such goals in a total of 51 games played. As a comparison, Lundqvist gave up 29 such goals in 63 games. I appreciate the feedback.

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