Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game Day Preview: Game 1

It’s Game Day!

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators kick off their first-round series—and the fifth instalment of the Battle of Ontario—tonight at 7:00 p.m. EST.

There’s a ton of hype around this matchup. For the Maple Leafs, this feels like their best shot at a real playoff run after winning the Atlantic. But the Senators won’t go quietly. They play a heavy game that can wear down Toronto’s top stars.

Auston Matthews John Tavares Mitch Marner William Nylander Morgan Rielly Toronto Maple Leafs
Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews, John Tavares, Morgan Rielly, and William Nylander of the Toronto Maple Leafs (Photo by Kevin Sousa/NHLI via Getty Images)

Ottawa has become a trendy sleeper pick to pull off an upset, which only adds to the tension already built into this rivalry.

It’s the Battle of Ontario—one of the best rivalries from the early 2000s—and it’s back in full force. This series is going to be a fun one.

Team Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs

Team Record: 52-26-4 (108 points)

Position: 1st in Atlantic

Top 5 Scorers:

  1. Mitch Marner: 27 G, 75 A, 102 P
  2. William Nylander: 45 G, 39 A, 84 P
  3. Auston Matthews: 33 G, 45 A, 78 P
  4. John Tavares: 38 G, 36 A, 74 P
  5. Matthew Knies: 29 G, 29 A 58 P

Goalie Stats:

  1. Anthony Storlarz: 21-8-3, 2.14 GAA, .926 SV%
  2. Joseph Woll: 27-14-1, 2.73 GAA, ,909 SV%

Ottawa Senators

Team Record: 47-31-4 (98 points)

Position: 3rd in Atlantic

Top 5 Scorers:

  1. Tim Stützle: 24 G, 55 A, 79 P
  2. Drake Batherson: 26 G, 42 A, 68 P
  3. Jake Sanderson: 11 G, 46 A, 57 P
  4. Brady Tkachuk: 29 G, 26 A, 55 P
  5. Claude Giroux: 15 G, 35 A, 50 P

Goalie Stats:

  1. Linus Ullmark: 25-14-3, 2.72 GAA, .910 SV%
  2. Anton Forsberg: 11-12-3, 2.72 GAA, .901 SV%

Projected Lineups

Toronto Maple Leafs

Matthew Knies – Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner

Max Domi – John Tavares – William Nylander

Bobby McMann – Pontus Holmberg – Nick Robertson

Steven Lorentz – Scott Laughton – Calle Jarnkrok

Jake McCabe – Chris Tanev

Morgan Rielly – Brandon Carlo

Simon Benoit – Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Anthony Stolarz

Joseph Woll

Scratched: Max Pacioretty, David Kampf, Ryan Reaves, Dakota Mermis, Philippe Myers

Ottawa Senators

Brady Tkachuk – Tim Stützle – Claude Giroux

David Perron – Dylan Cozens – Drake Batherson

Ridley Greig – Shane Pinto – Michael Amadio

Matthew Highmore – Adam Gaudette – Fabian Zetterlund

Jake Sanderson – Artem Zub

Thomas Chabot – Nik Jensen

Tyler Kleven – Nikolas Matinpalo

Linus Ullmark

Anton Forsberg

Scratched: Nick Cousins, Dennis Gilbert, Travis Hamonic

Game 1 Prediction:

Toronto has a lot to prove this year. They finished first, drew a new opponent, and just had their best season in the last five years. I expect them to come out strong and show they’re not here to be bounced in the first round. As for the Senators, this is their first trip to the playoffs since 2017—and their first time with this core. That matters. Adjusting to playoff hockey as a group can take time, and that learning curve might show early.

Maple Leafs take Game 1 with a 5–2 win over Ottawa.

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