Reirden’s Future With Capitals Has To Be in Trouble

The Washington Capitals currently find themselves down 3-0 in their Stanley Cup playoff series against the New York Islanders. This is certainly not where this team expected to be and it cannot be where general manager Brian MacLellan expected them to be. It’s hard to look at the roster with the deadline additions MacLellan made and not think that this team was primed for a deep playoff run.

Instead, they’re staring down the ugly potential of a first-round sweep. The Capitals are not some young, inexperienced team. Many of the members of the 2018 Stanley Cup Championship team are still in place. The key noticeable difference between 2018 and 2020 is the man behind the bench for the Capitals. If this team cannot pull itself out of the hole they currently find themselves in, Todd Reirden is likely to take the blame and be on the hot seat given the team’s high expectations.

This Is Not the First Disappointment

The 2018-19 season was Reirden’s first season behind the bench for the Capitals. He inherited a team mostly unchanged after a Stanley Cup victory the previous year. The regular season went well enough, with the team clinching first in the Metropolitan Division. This gave them a first-round matchup against the wild card Carolina Hurricanes. The home team had won every game in the series as it headed to Game 7, in Washington. At 11:05 of the second overtime, Hurricanes forward, Brock McGinn ended the Capitals’ season.

It’s not considered uncommon for teams to struggle the season after winning the Cup. However, it would be much easier to forgive the team for faltering early in the playoffs if they hadn’t had such a strong regular season. They had the fourth-best record in the entire NHL and scored the fifth-most goals. Going into the playoffs, it seemed as if everything was on track for another deep run, but it just didn’t materialize. If things were going well in the 2020 playoffs, 2018-19 would be a minor blip on the radar. Because of the struggles in this playoff cycle, that blip becomes magnified many times over.

No Answer for the Islanders

In three games so far, the Islanders have outscored the Capitals 11-5. Of the five goals the Capitals have scored, three of them have come on the power play. The two 5-on-5 goals were both scored by Alex Ovechkin in Game 2. Aside from those two goals by the greatest goal scorer of this generation, the Capitals have had no answer for the Islanders at 5-on-5.

Game 3 at first glance appears to be the closest game of the series, so far, with the Capitals only losing by one goal, in overtime. However, the Islanders dominated possession and shots on goal. Capitals goaltender, Braden Holtby, faced 34 shots to his opponent’s 23. The Islanders as a team averaged a Corsi percentage of 55.6% They also managed to keep the Capitals’ shots that did occur, mostly out of high danger areas at 5-on-5.

The Islanders have adopted a gameplan that disrupts the Capitals at every turn. When Capitals’ defenders gain possession and try to break the puck out of their zone, they are harried by opposing forecheckers who linger behind. The Islanders are engaging through the neutral zone and at both blue lines, keeping active sticks to break up passes and disrupt zone entries.

These factors all combined have to have an effect on Reirden’s future job security. Unless he and the Capitals can find a way to rewrite the current script, it’s likely that somebody is going to have to pay the piper for back-to-back first-round playoff exits. There is no shortage of qualified NHL coaches waiting in the wings to take someone’s job. That’s the cutthroat nature of the business side of this sport. So far, Reirden’s inability to adapt a gameplan to solve the puzzle the Islanders have presented him does not bode well for things yet to come.