Your Stanley Cup Champion in June Will Be…

Stanley Cup predictions are aplenty. Here at the start of December, it may be too early to confidently make predictions. At the same time, there has been a winnowing away of the weak and the strong have separated themselves convincingly. With that in mind, here is my prediction of which team will be hoisting the Stanley Cup come this June.14 - 1

Before I get to the actual prediction of the team it will be, let’s look at who has separated themselves at the quarter-pole. At the top of the heap are the Pittsburgh Penguins. A look at the graphic shows that there is not a great deal of separation between the eight teams listed. The Pens perch is really only a snapshot in time as each of the teams have accumulated similar win/loss totals and points. Will the Penguins march into June at the top of the heap, or will one of the others make a grab for Lord Stanley’s glory?

What About Pittsburgh?

That may come off as a sort of stupid thing to say, given their current run and Sidney Crosby’s dominance thus far. My colleague Tannor Torrao with The Hockey Writers

(Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports)
(Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports)

gives a great look at where the Penguins are currently, and outlines a few of their weaknesses here. I would have to agree with his analysis from the standpoint of their need for another physical defenseman and a couple of top-six wingers. And frankly, I just don’t trust Marc-André Fleury when it is crunch time.

I just watched the Penguins take on the Carolina Hurricanes – the team I regularly cover – and I was not overly impressed. Yes they are a great team. But the Hurricanes went into the CONSOL Energy Center and took the first game of a home and home series. Not to dismiss my beloved ‘Canes, but I did not see Stanley Cup type dominance from Pittsburgh during either game. Crosby was silent with the exception of taking penalties, and nothing about this team screamed at me as being overtly special. The blood clot to Pascal Dupuis gives us all pause to remember what is important in life, but for purposes of this article, is another entry on the challenge side of the long-term Penguins ledger. Our prayers are for a complete recovery for Dupuis.

A Stanley Cup for the Lightning?

There is a lot to like about the Tampa Bay Lightning at this point of the season. What’s not to like about this current Atlantic Division leader. Tied with the Habs with 34 points, they are hitting a very nice stride on all fronts. Another colleague with The

(Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports)
(Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports)

Hockey Writers, Jarrod Heil, breaks down the team nicely here. His first star goes not to fan favorite, Steven Stamkos, but to goalie Ben Bishop. A stout 8-2-1 in November, with a save percentage of .922, yet Bishop is still not your typical NHL household name. Certainly not the first to come to mind as would Martin Brodeur or Tuukka Rask or Jonathan Quick. Yet Bishop is getting it done in Tampa and they may very well come out of the Eastern Conference and find themselves in the Stanley Cup Finals.

You may be laughing at this point, but I personally feel that the Lightning have as good a shot as the Habs or the Islanders or the Penguins at this point in the season. They are getting contributions from several of their players, making them more than just a first line scoring threat, and their defense is solid. Tampa Bay could be your dark horse candidate when the teams come down the stretch.

Joining Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, and the New York Islanders at 34 points are the Habs

Well here they are again. The Montreal Canadiens are back at it having another quality year. General Manager Marc Bergevin

(Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports)
(Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports)

just signed forward Brendan Gallagher to a six-year contract extension worth $22.5 million. Bergevin has been rounding up his players like an expert rancher, with 15 players under contract and only Alex Galchenyuk left to be corralled. According to Pat Hickey of the Montreal Gazzette, the Habs will still have $11.5 million in cap space as it currently stands, which should be plenty for whatever needs to be worked out with Galchenyuk.

We all remember PK Subban’s emergence into the limelight last season. He is still the center of much of the attention that surrounds the Canadiens. His “unorthodox” style of playing defense has its detractors and those who find it refreshing. His 5 goals, 9 assists for 14 points are respectable, but he leads the league in games played at 25.

Subban is still young at 25, and by all observations is improving as an NHL player. I think we are only beginning to see what kind of impact Subban will have as he grows with this team. Whether he gives in to his coaches and changes his style of play, or whether they just let him do what he does, as long as the team is winning it will  be a non-issue.

Patrick Schmidt at makes a similar point to mine about the Penguins recent performance against the Hurricanes:

“Montreal lost two of their last three with Dustin Tokarski starting in place of Carey Price, but still you can’t lose 2-1 at Buffalo and lose in a shootout the next night and expect to be taken seriously among the other elite teams in the NHL, especially those in the Western Conference.”

The Habs will very likely be in the playoffs, but will they have enough to make it to contend for the Stanley Cup in June? Goalie Carey Price is 13-5-1 with a .922 save percentage. You can’t overlook the zeal to bring the Cup back to Canada that a team like Montreal will feed on if they begin to go deep into the playoffs again. I’d keep an eye on these Habs as possible contenders.

Another Stanley Cup on the Island?

The glory days of the New York Islanders have long since passed. But there is new life and hope on the island, and it looks to be for-real. They too have 34 points and are 17-7 at this juncture. Scott Clinco of The Hockey Writers penned on November 25th that the team is finally earning the respect of the media and other coaches. What is going on? The Islanders? Just ask Philadelphia Flyers fans who certainly did not enjoy this:

With John Tavares’ 10 goals and 13 assists, this team is doing what nobody saw coming in October: winning. For one thing, Jaroslav Halak is the real deal. At a save percentage of .923, he is the backbone of this finally resurgent team. As a Hurricanes fan, I remember asking aloud, “Why can’t we trade like that?’ when the Isles nabbed Johnny Boychuk and Nick Leddy. The team seemed instantly better.  Ryan Lambert at Yahoo Sports has a great in-depth review of the Islanders here. It is not better summarized than his observation:

“No team has transformed more in one offseason in recent memory than these Islanders, and they’re not winning through the smoke-and-mirrors nonsense advanced by the Avs and Leafs of recent years.”

Am I ready to pronounce the New York Islanders my Stanley Cup pick? Not quite. But they are fundamentally sound, and that style of hockey can go far come playoff time. The Islanders are worth watching.

And from the Western Conference

I know, I haven’t picked a finalist from the Eastern Conference yet. And I may not. The Western Conference is a fast-moving freight train right now, and I’ve got my eye on who I think will win the Stanley Cup when the smoke clears. I will put my confidence on one of two teams at this point: The Nashville Predators or the St. Louis Blues.

The Predators are hitting on all cylinders right now. they have an insane presence in the net with Pekka Rinne. 16-3-1 with a .933 save percentage is tremendous, as is his goals against average of 1.82.

Shea Weber is a fabulous defenseman, worth his spot at the top of the list of the NHL’s fattest salaries. He is +11 and has 6 goals and 9 assists thus far. Nashville made a huge commitment to shore up their back end with the big Canadian, and Weber is not disappointing.

James Neal has 9 goals thus far, but the real story is rookie Filip Forsberg. reported Monday that Forsberg was named the NHL Rookie of the Month for November. He led all rookies with nine goals, 15 points and a +9 rating in 13 games during the month. Not too shabby for any player, much less a rookie. (Are you listening Alexander Semin?) The 20-year old Swede leads all rookies in goals. points, and a host of other stats. The NHL crew breaks it down best:

In a year behind the bench, Coach Peter Laviolette has turned this team around. Through Sunday they sported a a league-best 10-1-1 at home and allowed 1.96 goals per game, an NHL-low. The Predators are much more offensive minded and are playing well nearly every night. I’ll get to see them up close Tuesday night in Raleigh.

So I’m Dissing the Blues and Canucks?

(Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports)
(Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports)

Not at all. I would not be surprised one bit if the St. Louis Blues or the surging Vancouver Canucks won the Stanley Cup in June. The Sedins and  Radim Vrbata are legit scoring forces in the NHL, as are Nick Bonino and Chris Higgins. The team is a multi-line scoring threat and this serves them well. I don’t take them lightly.

Newly minted Head Coach Willie Desjardins has this team buying into his system of hockey. (This should give ‘Canes fans hope as their team buys into the system of their new head coach Bill Peters.) and Ryan Miller is a beast in-goal. The Canucks are capable, but I just don’t see them sustaining a run all the way into June.

The St. Louis Blues are in the 34-point club through November. They are very good. Their goalie is very good. Brian Elliott is tied for the league lead in goals against average at 1.82. And the Blues’ backup goalie Jake Allen is no slouch at 2.16. With Elliott out, the veteran has come calling. Future Hall of Famer Martin Brodeur has earned a tryout Tuesday, and could suit up for this week’s action.

Vladimir Tarasenko has been strong with 14 goals and 12 assists already this season. He is only 22-years old. This goal on November 3rd was crazy good:

Last season T.J. Oshie became a household name, particularly after his shootout performance in the Olympics. The Blues are good, but can they stay healthy enough to make it all the way through to June and emerge victorious. On paper the answer is yes. But injuries have hit this team in the past, and even now with Elliott out, have to be a consideration. Injuries can derail any team. I’m just taking a wait and see approach to this very good Blues team.

And my pick is:

I’m looking for the Tampa Bay Lightning to win the East, and the Nashville Predators to win the West. And your Stanley Cup Champion in June will be: the Nashville Predators. Pekka Rinne and company are in the zone right now, and if they stay in the zone for the long haul, my money is on the Predators to hoist the Stanley Cup in June.

Do you agree with my pick? Disagree? Think I’m completely wrong? Comment below and let me hear from you, and how you feel about my pick. This could be fun.

Mark Shiver is a staff writer for The Hockey Writers  credentialed with the Carolina Hurricanes. You can follow him on Twitter @markshiver

40 thoughts on “Your Stanley Cup Champion in June Will Be…”

  1. Isles are gonna defeat either the Kings or preds in the final in 6 games. They’re 4 lines deep, have good D & solid goaltending. Isles are going all the way.

  2. In case you guys haven’t realized, a lot of writers (especially in sports) will purposely write articles to get you stirred up so that they can get views so they can paid by advertisers or “per click.” You ever wonder why a relatively unknown writer would make publish an article for a prediction 6 months in the future? It’s because they know we will come and read their opinions and get “enraged.” It’s typical “click bait” journalism. Have you noticed that EVERY article on the internet ends with a question? Yep, another ploy to get you to hang around and see advertisements. Don’t feed the beast.

  3. So last year around this time you picked Colorado? As another “commenter” wrote, Hawks or Kings, almost same roster for both since they won cupS!

  4. lol Hawks or Kings easily. It is funny how some people only base decisions this early off pts. Did you know the Kings are without 2 of their top d-men also and have been for a lot of the season so far? Also that cap issues because of Voynov till now. Whoever wins out of the Hawks or Kings will win the cup again.

    • Hawks or Kings? LOL no chance. Hawks have fallen off the radar completely…. they’re average at best. Kings had a nice run but won’t win another cup.

      do you even watch hockey?

      • Agreed with Matt…This panini is no hockey fan…Hawks and Kings are still at the top of the heap until someone takes it…get a clue

  5. Watch some hockey, then maybe you’ll know a little more than someone who pulls up stats and standings on Blackhawks for the 3rd time in 6 years. Finals sweep over Boston.

  6. The Blues and Ducks will likely implode based on history, which is why it’s a lock to pick the Hawks or the Kings again. 4 out of the last 5 years say so and that’s where my money would be. nice article if for nothing else to get the convo going.

  7. LOL, the Penguins are paper champions every year in the regular season (just like Peyton Manning) but when the checking gets tight and Sidney doesn’t get every dive called he and Malkin fade away at the first hard body check.

    You need defense and goal tending to win in this league and until someone beats the Kings it’s theirs to lose. When you have Jonathan Quick it’s pretty hard to bet against you.

    • Very True…Quick and the Kings coast until they need to turn it on and then they can play with anyone…Hawks are always a tough team…One thing you can bet on is Crosby will fade and start crying about everything like he always does…The East wont factor in the cup again this year…

  8. How can any KNOWLEDGABLE hockey writer fail to mention the Stanley Cup champs two of the last three years???? O/W known as the Los Angeles Kings???? They are for intent and purposes intact AND have the best (and probably most underrated) coach in the NHL– the loquacious Darrel Sutter

  9. This is a joke! Hakws and Kings don’t even get mention in the article?!?!?!?! 4 out of the last 5 cups go to those teams and they’ve held their strength….maybe watch some hockey games instead of just looking up the current standings….pshhhh

  10. Well, I appreciate all the comments. Frankly I do know the Wings are in the East Atlantic Division but at close to midnight when you’re pounding out an article, sometimes mistakes happen. It is December, and I do like the Hawks a lot. I’m just not feeling it for them right now. The Kings may very well be there at the end, but I’ve seen them twice this season and have not been impressed thus far. I could have slotted Detroit in, but stuck with the 34 point teams as of when I wrote the piece. Anyway keep the comments coming as I really do appreciate them. The Preds are in town tonight so after seeing them in person I will either really like my pick or not so much.

  11. Gotta go with the CBH’s. There is no logical reason the Pittsburgh Penguins shouldn’t at least make it to the Finals out of the East, but there is just something about this team that always makes them under-achieve. All that talent, but yet…I have my money on TB unless Bishop or Stamkos gets hurt.

  12. I think it is to early to know who will be there. The east either Habs, Pens, Lightnings…..west Canucks Ducks, maybe Red Wings or Hawks….There is a lot of talent on the ice right now. We should all be enjoying our teams and the games.

  13. Sorry, I just had to comment. I realize it’s almost impossible to pick a winner in December, and you just couldn’t think of anything current to talk about. But, how on earth can you not even mention the 2 teams that have won 4 out of the last 5 cups? I’m not saying the Kings or hawks will win it all, but both teams have already proven that they are good enough to not only do it, but to do it TWICE. Nashville is playing well, but other than a really good 25 games, they haven’t proven anything. I know you are in the east so you are sleeping when most of the western conference games are on, so I just wanted to educate you on the kings. They barely made the playoffs in 2012, finishing 8th. In 2014, they finished 3rd in their division and 6th in the west. So, when you see them currently in 7th in the west, that means they are playing exactly the way they played during the regular season of both cup victories.

  14. I’m looking for a Playboy Playmate to accept my marriage proposal – and trust me – I have asked every single one of them. I like my chances of marrying a Playmate a LOT MORE than of the Lightning and Preds to make the SCF and of the Preds to win the Cup. Right now I make the Preds no better than 50/50 to MAKE the Playoffs so hold off Sparky on them winning the Cup.

  15. The Preds? This guy is drunk. No mention of Hawks or Cup Champ Kings. We have to remember this is start of Dec. The cream always rises to the top. Foresberg’s offense will dry up or team will just shut him down.

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