August is the time of the year where things are very slow regarding NHL news, especially since the free agency “frenzy” has cooled down and that NHL training camps are still about one month away.
However, with a lock-out looming over the league and the players, following Gary Bettman’s announcement yesterday that there will be no hockey in October if the NHLPA and the NHL don’t find a way to come to an agreement and renew the current CBA (which is set to expire on September 15, 2012), the following rankings will most likely change or don’t happen at all if the entire season is wiped out.
2012-13 NHL regular season predictions: Eastern Conference
15. NEW YORK ISLANDERS = 75 points
The lowly Islanders didn’t do much in terms of improvement in the offseason. Up front, they lost an important offensive weapon when P-A Parenteau took his talent to Colorado and the team didn’t replace his production via free agency or trade. On the blue line, the team is really thin after Mark Streit and Travis Hamonic, and the uncertainty surrounding Lubomir Visnovsky, who wants his trade to Long Island voided, certainly doesn’t help. In goal, the team is counting on the veteran Evgeni Nabokov and the oft-injured Rick Dipietro to hold the fort. Please note that John Tavares will continue to improve and be an offensive force for the years to come despite all of the above.
14. BUFFALO SABRES = 78 points
The Sabres barely missed the playoffs last season, but GM Darcy Regier didn’t do anything to improve a team that struggled to score goals. Heck, Regier even traded inconsistent, yet productive, pivot Derek Roy in exchange for agitator Steve Ott and depth defenseman Adam Pardy. Roy’s departure, combined with a lack of a true #1 centre in Buffalo will hamper the Sabres’ chance at making the playoffs. Unless Cody Hodgson explodes offensively or draft picks Zemgus Girgensons and Mikhail Grigorenko make the team and provide a much-need spark, the season will be long in Buffalo.
13. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS = 81 points
While the Leafs improved offensively an already potent core of Phil Kessel, Joffrey Lupul and Mikhail Grabovski with the acquisition of James Van Riemsdyk on their top-six and the signature of Jay McClement to ameliorate their penalty kill, GM Brian Burke has yet to address the team’s goaltending woes. Unless he acquires someone like Roberto Luongo before the season, the team will rely on James Reimer and Ben Scrivens to win some games, which is not a good idea.
12. WINNIPEG JETS = 82 points
The Jets did not make any major improvement, other than veteran Olli Jokinen, to a line-up that failed to make the playoffs last year. While the Jets had great success at home last season, they failed to compete in most of their road games in 2011-12. Blake Wheeler, Andrew Ladd and Evander Kane will carry the load offensively, while Dustin Byfuglien and Tobias Enstrom will provide offensive punch from the blue line. Al Montoya, who’s an improvement over Chris Mason, will back-up Ondrej Pavelec for the upcoming season.
11. MONTREAL CANADIENS = 84 points
While the Canadiens finished last in 2011-12, they have a better team than their record on paper. With the stellar play of netminder Carey Price, the Canadiens always managed to play tight game and have a chance to win. However, a lack of offensive punch cost them way too many games last year. A healthy Andrei Markov and an improving P.K. Subban will certainly help the team improve their dismal power play, but after their first line of David Desharnais, Erik Cole and Max Pacioretty, only Tomas Plekanec represents an offensive threat. Veteran Brian Gionta should add some scoring punch after an injury-filled season and Rene Bourque might bounce back after a lacklustre campaign, but still that won’t be enough for the Habs.
10. NEW JERSEY DEVILS = 87 points
After the departure of all-star Zach Parise for his hometown, the Devils will be hard-pressed to find goals this season when Ilya Kovalchuk, Patrick Elias and Adam Henrique are off the ice. On defense, the team can count on steady defensemen like Henrik Tallinder, Anton Volchenkov and Bryce Salvador, but they are lacking a true offensive defenseman as Marek Zidlicky is a defensive reliability. In goal, Martin Brodeur and Johan Hedberg are one year older and their performance will falter as a result.
9. FLORIDA PANTHERS = 89 points
Despite making the playoffs last season, the Panthers had a losing record if we account for the OTL and they had a goal differential of -24. After Stephen Weiss, Tomas Fleischmann and Kris Versteeg, the Panthers are thin up front. Talented youngster Jonathan Huderdeau will certainly make the team out of training and contend for the Rookie of the Year award. On defense, the team added steady veteran Filip Kuba to an already potent group of Brian Campbell, Dmitry Kulikov and Ed Jovanovksi. In goal, the less than flashy duo of Jose Theodore and Scott Clemmensen gets the job done, but it will not be enough to make the playoffs this year.
8. OTTAWA SENATORS = 93 points
The Senators barely made the playoffs last season, and it will happen again this year. With the return of Daniel Alfredsson for one more season, and the emergence of Erik Karlsson, Jason Spezza will not be the only offensive threat in the national capital. Still, GM Bryan Murray traded dynamic forward Nick Foligno in exchange of Ottawa-native Marc Methot, and replaced Foligno’s production by signing Guillaume Latendresse who missed most of last season due to injuries. Craig Anderson will be backed-up by lanky goalie Ben Bishop, which should ease his workload and allow him to perform well all-season long.
7. PHILADELPHIA FLYERS = 95 points
Look for the Flyers to have problems defensively with the departure of Matt Carle and the season-ending injury suffered by Andrej Meszaros coupled with Chris Pronger unlikely return this season after suffering from concussion symptoms. Offensively, the Flyers will still score plenty of goals despite Jaromir Jagr’s departure with talented forwards like Claude Giroux, Brayden Schenn, Scott Hartnell and Daniel Briere. In goal, look for the most coloured goaltender to have his ups and downs this season as he gets more comfortable to his new defensemen, most notably Luke Schenn, Bruno Gervais and Nicklas Grossman.
6. TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING = 96 points
GM Steve Yzerman addressed his team’s shortcomings during the off-season by acquired young talented netminder Anders Lindback to replace over-the-hill veteran Dwayne Roloson as the team’s #1 goalie. Stevie Y also added much-needed depth on the blue line with the signatures of Matt Carle and Sami Salo, who will complement a solid top-four with Eric Brewer and Victor Hedman. At forward, the Bolt can count on sniper Steven Stamkos, as well as captain Vincent Lecavalier and playmakers Martin St. Louis and Teddy Purcell to carry the offensive load.
5. CAROLINA HURRICANES = 98 points
One of the most improved teams in the conference, the Hurricanes added two very talented players in Alex Semin (UFA) and Jordan Staal (PIT) to their offensive corps. They will allow Eric Staal and Jeff Skinner to finally play great offensive players and not the likes of Chad Larose and Jiri Tlusty. The steady play of underrated goaltender Cam Ward will go a long way to the Canes’ success in 2012-13. Youngsters Jamie McBain and Justin Faulk are slowly emerging as the team’s top two offensive guys on the blue line and their development will improve to defense-offense transition for their talented forwards.
4. PITTSBURGH PENGUINS = 104 points
With the return of a healthy Sidney Crosby, the Penguins will have a 100-point season for a fourth consecutive year. Despite the departure of Jordan Staal and Zbynek Michalek, the Penguins boast a group of very talented players in Evgeni Malkin, James Neal, Chris Kunitz and Kristopher Letang. The additions of Tanner Glass and Brandon Sutter up front will give the team size, grit and depth, while Tomas Vokoun’s signature will allow M-A Fleury to get more rest during the season and perform better in the playoffs.
3. BOSTON BRUINS = 100 points
The Bruins opted for stability next season as their roster will be almost identical to last year. The most noticeable changes will be the addition of rookie defenseman Dougie Hamilton in replacement of Joe Corvo who went back to Carolina and the emergence of Tuukka Rask as the #1 goalie with all-start Tim Thomas thinking about taking a sabbatical year. because of their depth and their talent, the Bruins will win the Northeast Division for a third consecutive season.
2. WASHINGTON CAPITALS = 101 points
After a sub-par season from Alexander Ovechkin and an injury-riddled campaign for Mike Green, the Capitals are ready to bounce back under new head coach Adam Oates. A healthy Green, the acquisition of dangler Mike Ribeiro and the emergence of stud goaltender Braden Holty will allow Oates to apply a more offensive style of play that fits his team better. Despite the departure of Alex Semin via free agency, the Capitals are loaded with offensive weapons who will help them rank among the best teams on the power play this season. A full season of Nicklas Backstrom, now free of concussion symptoms, along with the emergence of youngster Marcus Johansson will give the Caps a very deep threesome at center with Ribeiro, a strength the team has lacked in recent years.
1. NEW YORK RANGERS = 115 points
The Blue Shirts, who finished first in the Eastern Conference last year, will still be the team to beat this season with the addition of superstar Rick Nash. The team didn’t lose any major player via free agency and Glen Sather managed to acquire Nash for depth players (Anisimov, Dubinsky and Erixon). Sather also managed to add depth and grit up front with the signatures of Taylor Pyatt and Arron Asham. With superstars like Richards, Gaborik, McDonagh, Staal, Girardi and King Henrik in goal, the Rangers boasts the deepest group of talented players in the conference.
Do you agree to the above predictions? If not, why?
The regular season predictions for the Western Conference will follow next week.
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I think your top eight are bang on even though they may not end up exactly where you have them. Full season of crosby and Malkin? Rangers are best balanced team with the best goal tending and some stud defencemen. Phily always surprises (especially if Pronger returns) and Carolina has great goaltending. Look for Adam Oats to get OV going gain. Great horses only run well when they are happy. I also see my Leafs melting down and looking for GM before the trade deadline. Nonis interm GM? I do agree though, lets get a season started before the circle jerk.
Good work, but I would slide NYR down to 4th or 5th and WAS way down to 8th or 9th.
This sounds about right to me for the most part. If the Leafs get Luongo, they can make the playoffs.
I feel a couple moves can make them a playoff contender.
People here in Buffalo think I am crazy for thinking the Sabres won’t make the playoffs. Especially without a proven veteran topline center.
crazy makes the world go round
Furthermore, You have the Hurricanes finishing 5th overall in the East with absolutely no depth at Center if indeed the plan is to convert Eric Staal into Jordans winger. Jordan is a 2nd center at best, he will never put up the numbers that a good 1st liner will and after watching him game in and game out since he came into the league, he doesn’t have the best skating or the greatest hands. What he does have is the important intangibles. He’s a tremendous penalty killer with an imposing physical presence and he’s a great caliber leader. Skinner is a great player, but he’s also on the smaller side, look for him to runinto more injury problems this year. Florida will win the division again as I believe they will acquire Luongo at some juncture this season. They’ve got one of the deepest prospect pools in the NHL and they’ve got youngsters like Kulikov and Gudbranson that will be very productive blue-liners. Add to that the production of Kris Versteeg, Peter Mueller and a likely rebound season for Stephen Weiss and you’ve got yourself an 8 seed.
So Florida and Tampa Bay will both win the Southeast if I read your two posts correctly?
You have the Capitals winning their division over the Lightning? That’s not happening. Caps lost Semin, gained an overrated shootout specialist in Mike Robiero. green will NEVER have a healthy season just like Dipietro and Ovechkin lacks the flare we once knew him for. Lightning will win the division on the strength of their stars, Stamkos, St.Louis and Lacavalier and will flourish because of the acquisitions of Matt Carle and Andres Lindback. Holtby was a flash in the pan, he played well during the playoffs, but that was 1 series. There’s no feasible way he will do that over an 82 game span with the Caps defense in front of him. Lightning will win the division and the presidents trophy. They will meet up with the Canucks in the finals and defeat them in 7 games to win their 2nd cup. (just so everyone knows, I’m a Penguins fan and I detest both the Capitals and Lightning, but I just call it like I see it.)
ive got to say this guy is a complete moron as I saw the devils lose ONE important player and they are out of the playoffs? does the author not even watch hockey? has he not seen the devils miss the playoiffs only ONCE in the last 20 years and it was only because of a COACH, not a player…i don’t understand how people like this can be in the position they are, and the rangers getting 115 points? that’s REAL generous…yes, they got better but if nash does his thing and only does nash and doesn’t become a team player, they aren’t going to do anywhere near as close as anyone thinks they will.
Thank you for your very constructive post Paul, I appreciate it.
anytime…..i help out the less fortunate in my time off
ok paul so show us the standings the way someone that isnt a moron would see them. i will give my prediction and i will put up $10,000 to anyone that wants to bet that they get every teams total points. my prediction is all the teams get zero points because of a lockout.
Ca fait bien du sens ca Fred !!
Merci Eric
I’ve got the Leafs in the playoffs. Closer team, added size up front, healthy James Reimer in net and a more suitable system are all contributing factors.
My thing about the Hurricanes being so high is that I don’t see Alex Semin being that big of an addition. He’s very up and down and, although some may say he wasn’t given a great shot last season in Washington, he managed just 54 points. That’s equal to his point total from one season before.
Reimer is talented, but he has never proved anything over a full season which is why I’m conservative regarding the Leafs. As for Semin, I really think he will rebound under a new head coach and a new system.
I agree, however the Devils always figure a way in.
There is a first for everything!