The TJ Oshie Trade Analyzed

It has been more than eight years since a blockbuster trade went down during the offseason between the St. Louis Blues and the Washington Capitals. The Blues sent forward TJ Oshie to the Caps in exchange for forward Troy Brouwer, goaltender Pheonix Copley and a third-round pick in the 2016 NHL Entry Draft.

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As with most deals in the NHL, there’s a winner and a loser. Who won the trade may not have been clear initially, but revisiting what each team received years later, there appears to be a clear winner.

St. Louis Blues

The Blues were able to rid themselves of $4.175 million in cap space by sending the American Olympian to the Capitals. In exchange, they saved about half a million with Brouwer’s $3.66 million cap hit. Saving money is always a good thing, but the production they ended up losing isn’t.

Brouwer had a decent year for the Blues in 2015-16, putting up 39 points in 82 games, and scoring the most climactic goal in the Blues playoff run that season. Unfortunately for St. Louis, Brouwer’s time with the team was short-lived. He went to Calgary in free agency the following year.

Troy Brouwer- Blues
Troy Brouwer (Amy Irvin / The Hockey Writers)

As for the other player that came over in the trade, Copley played just two games for the Blues, one during the 2015-16 season and one during the 2016-17 season. He allowed five total goals in those two contests and failed to record a victory.

Ironically, Copley returned to the Caps in Feb. 2017 as part of the deal that sent Kevin Shattenkirk to Washington. In that deal, the Blues acquired the services of Zach Sanford and Brad Malone, as well as a first-round pick in the 2017 Draft.

Sanford broke out for the Blues during the 2019 Stanley Cup Final, scoring four points in the final five games and tallying the final Blues goal of the series. The Blues traded the first-round pick as part of the deal to acquire Brayden Schenn.

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As for the third-round pick that St. Louis acquired as part of the Oshie deal, they bundled that in a trade during the draft in 2016 with the Caps to acquire a pick in the first round. That pick was used for center Tage Thompson. He put up nine points in 41 games as a rookie for the Blues. Thompson became part of the trade for Ryan O’Reilly and broke out in 2021-22 with 38 goals.

Washington Capitals

The addition of Oshie has more than paid off for the Capitals. At the time of the deal, Washington was searching for a talented right-winger to play with Alexander Ovechkin on the top line. He has since found a home on the second line in Washington.

In his first season with the Caps, Oshie put up 51 points in 80 games. The 2016-17 season was a breakout season for Oshie as far as scoring goes. He set a career-high with 33 goals and a plus-28 rating. Those numbers earned him a monster eight-year, $46 million contract with the Caps.

The 2019-20 season started slow for Oshie and had many wondering if he was worth the mega-deal that the Caps signed him to. However, he turned things around and scored 47 points in 74 games. Injuries slowed him a bit in 2018-19, but he still had 25 goals and 54 points, and he is still a major part of the Capitals future.

Oshie really came alive during Washington’s run to the Stanley Cup, recording eight goals, including two game-winners, and 13 assists.

The right-winger is a huge part of Washington’s success and will continue to be moving forward. He has been especially valuable on the power play.

T.J. Oshie Washington Capitals
T.J. Oshie, Washington Capitals (Jess Starr/The Hockey Writers)

Eventually getting Copley back from the Blues was a big plus for the Caps. He made 25 combined starts for the Capitals during the 2020-21 and 2021-22 seasons before signing with the Los Angles Kings during the 2022 offseason.

Based on the fact that Oshie helped the Caps win a Cup, and he was signed to a long-term deal, Washington seems to have made out in the deal.

* originally published in June 2018