Much has been made about the Edmonton Oilers and the amount of recent top end draft picks that they have featured in their lineup.
In fact to start the 2014-15 season, the team will ice a roster that has their last six consecutive first round picks all in the lineup together and seven of the last eight if you include Jordan Eberle.
- 2014 – Leon Draisaitl (#3)
- 2013 – Darnell Nurse (#7)
- 2012 – Nail Yakupov (#1)
- 2011 – Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (#1)
- 2011 – Oscar Klefbom (#19)
- 2010 – Taylor Hall (#1)
- 2008 – Jordan Eberle (#22)
Certainly players like Hall, Eberle and to a lesser extent Nugent-Hopkins, have already proven to be on their way to being productive NHLers if not stars in the league.
The issue is that if you look past the first round, there are very few success stories in Edmonton. The team has struggled over the past decade with providing impact depth players from the later rounds.
Jeff Petry Stands Alone
With Martin Marincin, Tyler Pitlick and Anton Lander being sent down to Oklahoma City, Jeff Petry is the lone Oilers product on the current roster to be drafted by the team outside of the first round.
Petry was drafted in the 2nd round (45th overall) in the 2006 NHL Entry Draft. He made his debut in the 2010-11 season and has established himself as a regular on the Oilers blueline since that time.
The American born defensemen has played 236 games as an Oiler, far and above what any other player in the system outside the first round has done.
Last Decade Has Been a Disappointment
It’s not only over the past few years that there has been little impact from players drafted after the first round, it’s gone on much longer than that.
There have been only a handful of players even establish themselves as NHL regulars let alone contributors in the past 10 years. Few have played what amounts to more than a full NHL season. Here’s a look at the games played leaders over the past decade.
- Jeff Petry – 45th overall – 236 games
- Theo Peckham – 75th overall – 160 games
- Liam Reddox – 112th overall – 100 games
- Anton Lander – 40th overall – 94 games
- Linus Omark – 97th overall – 79 games
- Taylor Chorney – 36th overall – 61 games
- Danny Syvret – 81st overall – 59 games
- Teemu Hartikainen – 163rd overall – 52 games
Of the group only Petry and Peckham have stuck with the team over a full NHL season and have been a regular in the lineup and even Peckham struggled to stay in on a nightly basis.
Anton Lander was one of those players who was expected to become an anchor in the bottom six for the Oilers as a productive two way centre. He still has time to become that but time is running out and he will again start the year in the AHL. At 23 this is the sixth Oilers training camp he has been a part of and yet to establish himself. In his 94 games over three seasons he has managed just 2 goals and 8 points and is a minus 22.
At some point this season Anton Lander will be traded. #Oilers have given him numerous chances to become an NHL regular. Too inconsistent.
— Shane Sander 🏒 (@SanderEDM) October 6, 2014
Even if you consider Petry and Lander as two of the more successful picks outside the first round, they were chosen in the second round which does carry some expectation. It just goes to show how little the team has for success in the later rounds.
Depth is Crucial to Success
When you look at the most recent Stanley Cup winners, they have former first round, blue chip talent in their lineup and leading the way. Los Angeles had Drew Doughty and Anze Kopitar and Chicago Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane over the past few seasons.
However if you look deeper into their lineups, they also had significant contributions from other homegrown talents.
The Kings had important depth players such as Dwight King, Tyler Toffoli, Slava Voynov and Alec Martinez, all players drafted by the team outside of the first round.
The Blackhawks complemented Toews and Kane with Andrew Shaw, Brandon Saad, Bryan Bickell and Marcus Kruger, all of whom drafted outside of the top 30.
Even in 2011 with the Boston Bruins, they had stars Patrice Bergeron, David Krecji and Milan Lucic front and centre, and all three were Boston second round picks. Not to mention Brad Marchand who was a Bruins third round pick.
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The Oilers certainly have more first round picks in their lineup at one time than most, and perhaps that will be enough to carry them through. They have added some complementary pieces to those top players in an effort to balance their lineup this season, but at considerable cost.
In the age of a salary cap teams with long term success are able to use their farm system to supplement their NHL roster and fill in many of their depth holes. It is far more cost effective and more often than not it is players that they are familiar with coming up through the ranks.
It’s an inexact science and even the good teams miss more than they connect, but they do connect on a few. Something the Oilers cannot claim.
Not everyone can be the Detroit Red Wings and find steal after steal but at some point a team needs to be able to justify all the work their scouting staff does.
Recent draftees such as Mitch Moroz, Bogdan Yakimov, Jujhar Kahaira or Greg Chase among others have shown early promise, and the Oilers hope some turn into productive regulars.
However until that happens, the Oilers appear to be destined to troll the free agent and trade markets each year searching for the depth they wish they had in their system.
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Exactly right, it’s a pretty telling statistic. You would think even just by law of averages they would hit on a late round steal or two! Goes to show why they have had such trouble in terms of lack of depth in their NHL roster.
I agree with the assessment in the article. But let’s take this one step further dating back to 2004. In the last 10 drafts the Oilers have had a major struggle. Just look at 2004-2009 for now:
2004 – Liam Reddox, Bryan Young combined for 117 NHL GP. Reddox is now in Sweden, Young is out of hockey completely.
2005 – Taylor Chorney, Dan Syvret & Chris Vandevelde combined for 166 NHL GP. All are still minor league players
2006 – Theo Peckham. 160 NHL GP as a 6/7D, hes a UFA to start the year, unlikely to get NHL work this season
2007 – Linus Omark, Milan Kytnar. 80 NHL GP, both are no longer in the system. Omark burned all his NHL bridges
2008 – Johan Motin, Philippe Cornet & Teemu Hartikainen. Combined 155 GP, minor leaguers or now as secondary scorers in Europe. Seeing a trend?
2009 – Anton Lander, 94GP, struggled to gain any traction in the NHL.
The ONLY notable player the Oilers selected between 2004-2009 is Jeff Petry (2006 – 45th)
The jury is still out on the picks from 2010-2014.
This is a pretty horrible success rate on picks outside the first round. The Oilers have produced 1 NHL regular out of 33 draft picks…..
0.03% success rate!
You’re right Timmy, both showed promise and will hopefully be back up, and to stay. Which will hopefully also become a trend of many from the system contributing on a regular basis. I’ll believe it when I see it, as I thought the same thing of many players after they had favourable first impressions but never panned out.
Marincin and Pitlick will be back, likely as the Oilers first call ups. Pitlick would have gotten more play last year except for the injury trouble he faced. Marincin showed himself to be a solid young 3rd pairing defenceman, and only got in over his head when he got shoved up the depth chart, a great showing for a 20 year old.