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Maple Leafs Treliving Poised to Do Something Bold Soon

In a recent post, I discussed the possibility of the Toronto Maple Leafs’ new general manager (GM), Brad Treliving, trading William Nylander to the Calgary Flames for Tyler Toffoli. This trade proposal stems from my belief that Treliving, in his new position, feels the need to make his own mark on the team. 

The Desire to Break Up the Core Four Is Deep

Over the years, Maple Leafs’ fans have expressed a belief that the current core of the team (the so-called Core Four) is not capable of winning championships. And thus far, that belief has not been disproven.

Insofar as the Maple Leafs’ fan base is represented by the discussions THW readers generate on posts, breaking up the Core Four has been a recurring demand from the fan base for seasons. That said, no doubt implementing such a change might be easier said than getting it done. 

In the past, although former GM Kyle Dubas said no move was “off the table,” he showed no desire to break up the Core Four. Treliving, on the other hand, has a different mindset. He’s not invested. In addition, he’ll want to leave his own imprint on the team, taking it in a different direction than Dubas was moving it. He’ll probably also want to do something big quickly – just because he’s the new boss, has new ideas, and would not want to be seen as either hesitant to act in ways that would improve the team.

Nylander for Toffoli Would Seem to Be Doing Something Big 

The attraction to trading Nylander for Toffoli would have been a way to change without completely overhauling the team’s roster. Toffoli would have brought a stronger 200-foot game to the top-six unit. He’s better defensively compared with Nylander, who’s better offensively. That’s his game, and he’s good at it.

Tyler Toffoli Calgary Flames
Tyler Toffoli, Calgary Flames (Jess Starr/The Hockey Writers)

The two players could – in the short term – would balance each other out, and Treliving could potentially have acquired an additional player in the trade because Nylander is projected to have a longer and stronger career than Toffoli, who is four years older. That would change things.

Reasons for Expecting Treliving to Do Something Bold

Given the circumstances, he’s in and the needs of the team, I anticipate Treliving will make a bold move soon to establish himself in his new role as the Maple Leafs’ GM and to put his own stamp on the team. There are three reasons for that expectation. 

First, Treliving would have a desire to change. Certainly, he’d want to do the job the best he can. However, he knows he will be compared with Dubas. That, given what I know of human nature, might encourage him to make bold moves to differentiate himself from his Dubas. He’d want to establish his own identity as the team’s GM. This could involve significant trades or roster shake-ups to put his stamp on the team.

Second, the Maple Leafs are in a win-now situation, and there is an urgency to succeed. The pressure to win in Toronto is high, and Treliving will feel the need to take bold actions to push the team forward. He could pursue high-profile players through trades or free agency to improve the roster’s talent level and increase the team’s chances of winning a championship. I believe he’ll likely trade because the fact is that – perhaps other than Ryan O’Reilly – there are few huge free agents out there to be had who seem to fit the team well.

Ryan O'Reilly Toronto Maple Leafs
Ryan O’Reilly, Toronto Maple Leafs (Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Third, the fan base’s expectations of the Maple Leafs are high. How much that translates to Treliving’s actions, I don’t know, but it would be ignorant to believe these expectations don’t exist and don’t matter. There is external pressure to make bold moves to satisfy these expectations. He needs to make significant trades or signings that induce excitement and demonstrate his commitment to building a competitive team.

Reasons for Thinking Treliving Might Standing Pat

On the other hand, there are reasons for caution. Treliving could simply stand pat with the team and build around it with lower-cost players who’d fit into the Maple Leafs’ team needs. There are also prospects in the organization who could rise to the occasion. 

Standing pat would allow him to assess the current roster and take time to assess its strengths and weaknesses before making major moves. He could evaluate player performances, chemistry, and potential needs for improvement without rushing into immediate changes.

Second, salary-cap constraints are ever-present. The Maple Leafs’ salary cap might limit Treliving’s ability to make major moves, especially if the team is already close to the cap ceiling. He could choose to work within the existing framework to make smaller adjustments or wait for more favourable cap conditions in the future.

Third, Treliving could prioritize long-term planning and sustainability over immediate bold moves. He could focus on developing prospects, preserving future assets, and building a foundation for sustained success rather than seeking short-term fixes. 

Auston Matthews Mitch Marner Toronto Maple Leafs
Are Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner good enough to carry the team forward? (The Hockey Writers)

However, as I assess these cautionary reasons, these reasons just don’t seem to fit the current needs of the team. They ignore the fact that moves to reshape the roster in minor ways every season have worked well enough, but didn’t increase the team’s ability to win the Stanley Cup. The pressure to win is now, and minor moves just haven’t seemed to help.

The Bottom Line

Although I’m not sure what Maple Leafs’ new GM Treliving will do, I expect him to make at least one bold move to reshape the team very soon. He needs to establish his own identity and differentiate himself from his predecessor (Dubas). He needs to address a fan base that has expressed a desire to break up the team’s Core Four because they believe the current roster is incapable of winning championships. 

The Maple Leafs’ win-now situation puts huge pressure on Treliving to improve the team’s chances of winning a championship. Right now, there’s little reason for caution. Treliving really cannot choose to stand pat. Instead, he must work within the team’s salary-cap constraints and make things happen – soon.

It might not be the easiest job, but it’s the job Treliving has to do over the next while. I believe Maple Leafs’ fans should expect a surprise very soon – perhaps within the next week or two.4

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The Old Prof

The Old Prof

The Old Prof (Jim Parsons, Sr.) taught for more than 40 years in the Faculty of Education at the University of Alberta. He's a Canadian boy, who has two degrees from the University of Kentucky and a doctorate from the University of Texas. He is now retired on Vancouver Island, where he lives with his family. His hobbies include playing with his hockey cards and simply being a sports fan - hockey, the Toronto Raptors, and CFL football (thinks Ricky Ray personifies how a professional athlete should act).

If you wonder why he doesn’t use his real name, it’s because his son – who’s also Jim Parsons – wrote for The Hockey Writers first and asked Jim Sr. to use another name so readers wouldn’t confuse their work.

Because Jim Sr. had worked in China, he adopted the Mandarin word for teacher (老師). The first character lǎo (老) means “old,” and the second character shī (師) means “teacher.” The literal translation of lǎoshī is “old teacher.” That became his pen name. Today, other than writing for The Hockey Writers, he teaches graduate students research design at several Canadian universities.

He looks forward to sharing his insights about the Toronto Maple Leafs and about how sports engages life more fully. His Twitter address is https://twitter.com/TheOldProf

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